MJMiracles Jar

Calibration

This page exists so readers can audit the system, not trust it: every number below is computed from the published grades at build time, and the anchor table runs the same checks that gate our releases.

Rubric

v2

Graded claims

178

Last updated

2026-06-12

Tier distribution

Where the catalog lands under the six tiers. A healthy distribution is bottom-heavy — most claims should not survive scrutiny.

TierClaimsShare
Gold standard42.2%
Silver — promotable116.2%
Bronze — contested158.4%
Explained7240.4%
Unproven5229.2%
Disproven2413.5%

Miracle Meter

If the facts are true, could nature do this? Claims per 10-point bucket.

1–9
40
10–19
30
20–29
22
30–39
13
40–49
10
50–59
11
60–69
14
70–79
12
80–89
16
90–99
10

Evidence

Did it happen as reported? Claims per 10-point bucket.

1–9
24
10–19
21
20–29
19
30–39
12
40–49
15
50–59
12
60–69
11
70–79
19
80–89
23
90–99
22

Biggest movers, rubric v1 → v2

The ten headlines the v2 migration moved most — the honest cost of changing the formula in public. Full record on the changelog.

Anchor compliance

Calibration anchors from the rubric — fixed points a re-grade is not allowed to drift past. The same rules run as a hard gate in CI.

Confessed hoaxes / exposed frauds: Evidence ≤ 5

Cottingley, Popoff, Trevignano — the record says it didn't happen, however high the meter.

PASS3/3

Resolved-naturally / boundary cases: Meter ≤ 5

Lentz, McMath, Ziadna, Lahaina — confidently documented, naturally explained.

PASS4/4

Headline = round(Meter × Evidence ÷ 100), clamped 1–99

Every headline is the product of the two bars — no hand-tuned exceptions.

PASS178/178

Gold tier ⇔ Meter ≥ 70 and Evidence ≥ 70

Gold is earned on both bars, in both directions — no entry holds it without the thresholds.

PASS178/178

All values in range

Meter, Evidence, headline within 1–99; docScore within 0–10.

PASS178/178

Thresholds, bars, and tiers are defined on the methodology page; every individual revision behind these aggregates is on the changelog.